E-Learning activity – Components of a scenario
Scenario planning gives us endless possibilities for the future.
Watching the video Deutsche Post DHL – Logistics 2050 and reading the article which compliments this “winning in an uncertain future through scenario planning” by Peter Schwartz, it has really just occurred to me that I seem to have kept my ‘head in the sand’ somewhat! What I mean by that is we go around minding our own business each day – have our job, being busy parents, making a difference to students (hopefully!), running a household etc and in all that time, there is continuous change occurring around us. I think it is in my subconscious that the world is changing, but I just don’t have time or more importantly, don’t make time to stop and smell the roses if I can use that as an analogy. For me, sometimes I forget to stop and take account of what is actually happening around us all (I hope that makes sense). As Peter Schwartz suggests "the speed of everything is accelerating, the scale of interconnection is skyrocketing and the web has certainly changed us".
Of course, I see it now – uncertainty is the ‘new normal’.
So identifying drivers of change, trends, uncertainties etc helps us to understand how we can change. Scenario planning is becoming a lot more clearer as I research different scenarios and see that for an idea to become a reality there are many factors that need to be considered. Schwartz also states “a fundamental premise of scenario planning is that we make decisions based on perception. Although perception is informed by the real world, it is also shaped by experiences, biases, knowledge, and communities”.
What would you like to learn or achieve with this online workshop?? I think I have already learnt that change is inevitable and I can either be a part of it or become stagnant and be left behind (or redundant). It is with regards to education that I think about the scenarios that have been presented to us so far. They have certainly helped me understand why planning is the first and foremost part of strategic planning and it is a way to move forward and be sustainable in our subject area of the Technology curriculum. I have related my own experience so far to the quote “you don’t know what you don’t know” and before this mOOC course and scenario planning practice, I really knew nothing. So far, it has certainly opened my eyes. I am enjoying the journey.
|A Wordle of Scenario Planning Words!|